I said way, way back in June that Tommy Thompson wasn't winning the primary for the US Senate on August 14th. I wasn't very certain if it would be Eric Hovde or Mark Neumann who would win, but either of them taking the victory from Tommy was something I saw as eminent.
Well, yesterday Public Policy Polling (a Democratic leaning firm, but generally accurate poll) just released a new round of polling numbers, and the results may surprise some:
Eric Hovde: 28%
Mark Neumann: 25%
Tommy Thompson: 25%
Jeff Fitzgerald: 13%
The only thing to note of significance is that the margin of error is rather large at 4.9%
Wow... interesting. The simple overview of the results is located here and gives their synopsis of what the trend lines have shown since June, momentum is actually more on Mark Neumann's side that Eric Hovde's right now. It also continues that the issue which dogs Thompson is the perception (and rightfully so) that he's "sufficiently conservative."
Now, this is just the "broad strokes overview" poll numbers. If you really want to get deeper into the poll & a lot of the more interesting results, check out the full poll at this link: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_731.pdf